Do The Republicans Need New York?

Folitical mathematicians of both parties are already at work trying to figure out a republican or a democratie victory in the Presidential election of this year. As usual, all the calculations include New York, with its thirty-six electoral votes, as an unknown or uncertain quantity. The republicano are trying to discover a way of electing the President without the help of New York, while the demoorate, on the other hand, are anxious to get into their column of sure democratie states enough electoral votes to give them the Presidency with the help of New York. The present disorganized condition of the republican party in the Empire State, following the disaster which bel'ell Senator Fas sett last fall in his campaign for Governor on purely local issues, seems not to promise much for republicanism this year, and if there is a chance of winning without the electoral vote of Dave Hill's political playground, the republicans ought to formúlate their plans at once and go to work to make the victory sure. The republicans can win without New York. The reapportionment for representaron in Oongress and the addition of six new states to the Union in the West make the total vote of the Electoral College 444. Either party, to win, must have at least 223 votes, or one more than one half. There are certain states which the democrats are sure to carry, and others which can be reliably counted on by the republicans. Republican reverses in Massachusetts, Iowa. Wisconsin, and Ehode lsland cause the democrats to put these states in the doubtful üst. There is, however, no good reason to doubt that they will all swing into the republican column once more this year, and they are therefore classed as surely republican. ïhe list of sure states is as follows : Republican. Democratie. California 9 Alabama 11 Colorado 4 Arkansas 8 North Dakota 3 Delaware 8 Idaho 3 Florida i Illinois 24 Georgia 13 lowa 13 Kentucky 13 Kansas 10 Louisiana 8 Maine 6 Maryland 8 Massachusetts 15 Mississippi 9 Minnesota 9 Missouri 17 Nebraska 8 New Jersey 10 Nevada 3 North Carolina 11 New Hampshire 4 South Carolina 9 Ohio 23Tennessee 12 Oregon 4 Texai 1 Pennsylvauia 32 Virginia 12 Khode Island 4 West Virginia 6 South Dakota i - Vermont 4 Total 169 Washington 4 Wiaconaln 12 Wyomiug 3 Total 201 This disposes of all but seventyfour of the electoral votes, wliich are divided among the four doubtlul states of New York, Indiana, Oonnecticut, and Montana as follows : New York 36Connecticut 6 Indiana ]öMontaua 3 and Michigan with fourteen votes, in wliich state the electors, by virtue of a democratie gerrymander, are to be chosen frora the Congressional districts. So good a democratie authority as the Louisville Journal admits that the republicans will get ten of the fourteen votes in Michigan, and we accept those figures. Suppose, for instance, that of the doubtful states the republicans carry Indiana. That would give them 226 votes as follows : Votes of sure states 201 Indiana 15 Michigan 10 Total 226 That is three more than a majority, andit would leave the democrats but 218 votes as follows : Votes of sure states 169 New York 36 Michigan 4 Connecticut 6 Montana 3 Total 218 But Montana is so close that the republicans may get it, and Wesl Virginia is likely to slip away from the democratie column this year. Then again we may take Connecticut. What would thal give us? Votes of sure states 20: Michigan II Counecticut i Montana í West Virginia 6 Total 226 ïhere we have 226 votes without Indiana or New York, and it leaves the dempcrats but 218 as before, as follows : Votes of sure states . 16; New York 36 Indiana lj Michigan 4 Total 21 The above figures are not basec on possibilities alone, for there is a strong prqbability that the re publicans will carry Gonnecticut Montana, and West Virginia even if they do not get New York and Indiana, and it is equally a probable that we shall also adc Indiana to the republican column The republicans may as well under stand now, however, that they have a desperate battle to figh against a desperate foe, and tha if there is a possibility of carryin New York every legitímate effor should be exerted in that direction We do not by any means desir to be understood as admitting tha New York has gone over to th democrats hopelessly. We d think, however, that the republi can party of New York should re form its ranks on broader and mor national lines, drop its petty fac tional feuds, put its best, men to the front, and go into the fight as if it meant business. With an earnest, united, and harmonious party in that state, a strong and fearless republican ibr the national standard bearer, and a rousing campaign on the great issues of protection and reciprocity, no democrat, not even Dave Hill, can prevent the carrying of New York by the grand old party this year. Secretary Rusk, of the Government Department of' Agriculture, is preparing what is certain to be pronounced a marvelous agricultural exhibit for the Chicago World's Fair. It wi.ll be at once a strikin demonstration of the broad scope and efficiënt work of the department of which he is the head, and a school of instruction for all who are interested in agricultural matters. It will include full illustratiöns of various insect depredations, a mammoth globe representing graphically the history of pleuro-pneumonia and its remarkable extermination in America; a model of the famousDeath Valley, with its strange launa and flora; and a working set of a modern weather station's outfit. Under the immediate supervisión oí' Expert Hubbard the most complete and comprehensiva collection of grains ever made is being prepared, with the co-operation of the farmers in this country and in foreign parts. Saniples of wheat grown in every county in the United States will be shown. Grains from Peace river in northern Canada, to Patagonia; from Russia to India, will be in the collection ; every seed picked by hand and the varieties arrangea in lasieiui giass companments with Jabels indicating the name, place, weight and eíFects of ie soil and climatic conditions. 'here are now collected 2,000 samles of wheat, 1,000 of oats, 5,000 f rye, 3 000 of barley, 300 of buckwheat, 1,500 of corn (beside the xhibit of corn in the ear) and pro)ortionate numbers of the various )ther grains and garden products. An effort is being made to secure rom Egypt one of the original ather wheat plants.