The Outlook In New York

One of the best informed correspondents at Albany sums up the present political prospecta in tliat State as follows : The effect of organization is beginning to teil favorably on the prospects of the Democratie party. Immediately after the Convention the prevailing impression appeared to be that Cornell was predestined to be the next Governor of New York, but that the remainder of the Democratie ticket would be elected. It was argued that Kelly would draw off from 50,000 to 100,000 Democratie votes, that Cornell would control the united Eepublican strength, and that the Democratie candidatea who were not cut by Tammany would go into oílice with a flaming majority at their backs. This view of the situation was accepted by the rank and file of the party. In Albany there were few to dispute it, for here the Democracy seemed split through the centre, with the advantage of leadership on the side of the bolters, who numbered among them Judge Amasa J. Parker, Erastus Corning, N. C. Moak, and many others of general or local fauie. Here they have a newspaper, Lhe Evening Times, edited by ex-Speaker Calücott, who is au able journalist, familiar with bolt?. Here, also, they have control over tliat lurge body of men who are interested ia the New Capítol job. If Mr. Kelly's strengí-h could be measured by iïs apparent development in Albany, Utica, Syracuse, Oswego, Lockport, Rochester, and Buffalo, it would be quite as gieát and perhaps greater than its most enthusiastic advocate claims. But I talked with a cool-headed Democrat who professes to know all about it, and hesakU The Kelly combination is simply a' farce. If it eould kill the Democratie pai ty . would be a tragedy. If it elected part of the ticket and defeated part, it would be a higlily sensational drama. If it seriously threatened these results, but failed toaccuinplish thein.it would be a poüte comedy. But as it is, it is nothing but a broad and not over clean farce. Look at it ! An array of speakers, LncludiDg the self-nomi'nated candidate for Governor, start out advertised to visit a .certain place- Syracuse, for example, Kelly, Dorsheimer, Cox, Spinola and his shirt collar, Lucky Grady, and a great vaiiety of performers (some of whom fail to appear), are all announced. Free shows are scarce, and the natural result is a crowded house, made up in about equal parts of Republican politlcians who are there from a sense of duty. and Demócrata whom are there out of curiositv. Mr. Kelly retires froua such a meeting with the couiplacent remark that he tliinks those who were present will vote for him. You may not know it, but it is a fact that in 1868 Dan Rice, the clown, actually believea that he was the most available man in the country for Piesident of the United States. He spent nearly $20,000 in trying to make somebody else believe it. He insisted that all the people who Wsited his show would vote for him, and he had figures to.prove that tliat would elect him. It remained for Mr. John Kelly to follow the illustrioua example of the explosive and now exploded Dan Rice. If you study the Repubücan newspapeva carefully in the cities througli which Mr. Kelly has passed, you will find that they knowhow weak he is, and that they may not utterly wreek their reputation for veracity they are beginning to assert that the bulk of the Kelly vote will be cast direct for Cornell- 'to hit Robinson twice,' as they put it. But while Mr. Kelly has been travelling throiigh the State shaking hands with the voters who will vote against him, he has neglected his own affairs in New York city. If lie had concentrated his energies on the metropolis and spent there all the money he could raise, he might have held 30,000 of his followers" in line, at -least up to the morningof election day. Hut he ran away at the critical moment, and he comes back to find that his strength has evaporated. Mr. Kelly to-day in the city of New York is in the power of the Robinson Democrats, and he is at their mercv He daré not cali the roll of th TamGeiföVou;a'uHre1IYïCbWin8'ouri fore the en.l of this week you will see a break in Tammany which wil astonish vou il vou are not prepared for S The Repu)lioanB are reckoning „tmZL tixüii host. ïhey do not know how streng the attachment of the average Democi -at is to the regular ticket. Itis different on the other side. ïhe Republican party was established only twenty-iivu years ago, and it drew its reciuits about equ.iliv from the Whigs, the native Americans, and the Bainburner Demócrata. It rceived a laige accession froin the iiunter eiement immediately afier the war But all the men u contained were joined together by principie, except such as cohered for plunder, and they never telt that their enliatment was permanent. During the war it was possible to enforcea strict system of party cipline in the Republican ranks; but it is impossible now The Demócrata are held together by their traditions, by their history, by their devotion to the name they bear. 1 will give yon the practical applioation uL these reruarks. On election day 50,000 Republicans will come to the polls and vote, and they will all reí use to vote for A. B. Cornêll. Some of theru will appear sirnply as scratchers, but the larger part will vote for Lucius Kobinson They will outnumber the Kelly voters two to one. If the Republicana had mate their canvass with half the care that we have made ours they would know that there are Robinson Republicans in every school district of the State. If they keep on hugging the delusion that they will electCornell they will make astonishing asses of themselves.